Californians cut up on proposed billionaire tax, bitter on voter ID requirement, ballot reveals



California stays a state divided on two controversial measures to be determined by voters in November.

Prop 40, the one-time billionaire tax, received 48% assist within the ballot in comparison with 41% who opposed. About 11% are undecided, in accordance with a UC Berkeley-Los Angeles Instances ballot launched Friday.

Ultrasound Technologist Mayra Castaneda speaks in entrance of healthcare employees holding placards in assist of the Billionaire Tax throughout a media briefing on Monday, April 27, 2026, in Los Angeles. AFP through Getty Photographs

“It’s received an early lead, however it’s not a really giant lead, and it’s not a majority,” ballot director Mark DiCamillo instructed the Instances. “Often, for poll propositions, you need the sure facet to be above 50%, and that’s not the place it’s proper now.”

The proposed tax has cut up Democrats, with many labor teams backing it as a technique to offshore federal well being cuts however outstanding figures like Gov. Gavin Newsom worrying it’s going to destroy the state’s economic system.

It’s particularly essential for Prop 40 to garner as many “sure” votes it might as billionaires like Sergey Brin have poured cash into competing poll initiatives which will override it. Usually, the initiative that will get essentially the most votes is the one which goes into impact.

“There’s going to be a variety of campaigning, apparently on the no facet particularly. So we’ll see,” DiCamillo stated on the altering dynamics. “However , I believe it’s complicated to voters in some methods.”

In keeping with the ballot, the billionaire tax is seeing stronger assist from youthful Californians. Minorities, ladies and lower-income voters had been additionally extra prone to again it than white voters, males and those that earn no less than $200,000 yearly.

In the meantime, Prop 39, the initiative that may require robust identification guidelines has simply 42% assist, with over half of would-be voters opposing 39.

Attendees maintain “Voter ID” indicators throughout a information convention with Steve Hilton, Republican gubernatorial candidate for California, proper, on the Los Angeles County Registrar of Voters in Norwalk, California, on Tuesday, June 9, 2026. Bloomberg through Getty Photographs
Voters forged ballots at a polling place in Culver Metropolis, California, on Tuesday, June 2, 2026. Katie Avery for CA Put up

The divide amongst Prop 39 is extra clearly partisan, with 80% of Democrats opposing it and 90% of Republicans supporting it. Nevertheless, unaffiliated voters weren’t in favor by a 54% to 36% margin.

“It’s a really conventional Democrat versus Republican cut up,” stated DiCamillo, who anticipated to not see main shifts within the numbers.

State Republicans are main the push for Prop 39 and declare most Californians do assume voter ID necessities are widespread sense. However they cried foul on a description rewrite by state Lawyer Normal Rob Bonta, a Democrat, that they stated framed the measure extra negatively.

When supporters gathered greater than 1.3 million signatures to qualify Prop. 39 for the November poll, its title stated the measure “establishes extra voter identification and citizenship verification necessities.” Bonta’s workplace modified the language to say: “Prohibits residents from voting except they current government-issued identification.”

Supporters sued Bonta however misplaced in court docket.

“California politicians know {that a} supermajority of California voters assist Prop 39’s bipartisan resolution for Voter ID — so now they’re corruptly making an attempt to rig the election by placing a biased and dishonest title on this commonsense measure,” Assemblymember Carl DeMaio (R), the chief backer of the measure, stated in a press release.

The Berkeley ballot surveyed 4,207 California registered voters on-line from August 3 to 9. It has a margin of error of about 2.5 proportion factors.


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